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Can Kamala Harris beat Donald Trump? Latest poll updates

Election 2024 live: Harris, Walz wrap up Pennsylvania bus tour as Trump  plans DNC counter events

VICE President Kamala Harris is making a bid for the White House with running mate Tim Walz after replacing President Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket just a few months before Election Day.

A new poll suggests that Harris has the only positive approval rating of any candidate, and leads in almost all battleground states.

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So how will Harris actually fare against Donald Trump and his vice-presidential pick, JD Vance, this November?

Harris now has a 2.8-point lead over Trump in the latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight.

On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls, though the race remains tight

What do voters think?

A fresh poll from Emerson College (August 12-14) shows that Kamala Harris is the only candidate of whom voters have an overall favorable opinion, at +2 per cent.

This is significantly more positive than both Trump and his running mate Vance, who have a net -10 unfavorable rating, according to the poll of 1,000 US likely voters.

For live updates on the US presidential election, click here.

Meanwhile, VP pick Walz Has an overall neutral favorability rating, with 39 per cent of voters holding a favorable view and 39 per cent holding an unfavorable view.

Interestingly, one in five voters (22 per cent) said they had never heard of Walz, a week after his selection. For JD Vance the number was lower, at 12 per cent.

When asked how much they approve of incumbent Joe Biden is doing as President, voters showed net disapproval of -14 per cent.

Fighting in the battlegrounds

In the seven battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — the war is still being waged between Democrat and Republican campaigns.

Research from the Cook Political Report show that Harris has a lead in six out of seven states, with Trump holding strong in Nevada.

The poll shows Harris’s strongest lead in Arizona, where Biden won by just 0.4 per cent in 2020.

This is a substantial swing from the same polls in May, with a Trump-Biden matchup, where Trump led in six states and tied in Wisconsin.

Yet polling in swing states continues to show variation from pollster to pollster, with a YouGov/CBS poll conducted up to the same date (August 2) suggesting that neither candidate had a significant lead in any of the battlegrounds.

Overall, battleground polls have consistently shown that Harris has picked up momentum from her predecessor’s trailing support, and is on-track to lead Trump in some states.

Vice President Kamala Harris is making a bid for the White House with running mate Tim Walz after replacing President Joe Biden on the Democratic ticket just a few months before Election Day.

A new poll suggests that Harris has the only positive approval rating of any candidate, and leads in almost all battleground states.

So how will Harris actually fare against Donald Trump and his vice-presidential pick, JD Vance, this November?

Harris now has a 2.8-point lead over Trump in the latest average of national polls, collated by FiveThirtyEight.

On average, Harris has been marginally ahead of Trump in national polls, though the race remains tight.

What do voters think?

A fresh poll from Emerson College (August 12-14) shows that Kamala Harris is the only candidate of whom voters have an overall favorable opinion, at +2 per cent.

This is significantly more positive than both Trump and his running mate Vance, who have a net -10 unfavorable rating, according to the poll of 1,000 US likely voters.

For live updates on the US presidential election, click here.

Meanwhile, VP pick Walz Has an overall neutral favorability rating, with 39 per cent of voters holding a favorable view and 39 per cent holding an unfavorable view.

Interestingly, one in five voters (22 per cent) said they had never heard of Walz, a week after his selection. For JD Vance the number was lower, at 12 per cent.

When asked how much they approve of incumbent Joe Biden is doing as President, voters showed net disapproval of -14 per cent.

Fighting in the battlegrounds

In the seven battleground states — Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — the war is still being waged between Democrat and Republican campaigns.

Research from the Cook Political Report show that Harris has a lead in six out of seven states, with Trump holding strong in Nevada.

The poll shows Harris’s strongest lead in Arizona, where Biden won by just 0.4 per cent in 2020.

This is a substantial swing from the same polls in May, with a Trump-Biden matchup, where Trump led in six states and tied in Wisconsin.

Yet polling in swing states continues to show variation from pollster to pollster, with a YouGov/CBS poll conducted up to the same date (August 2) suggesting that neither candidate had a significant lead in any of the battlegrounds.

Overall, battleground polls have consistently shown that Harris has picked up momentum from her predecessor’s trailing support, and is on-track to lead Trump in some states.

 

Credit: https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/harris-trump-poll-latest-updates-2024-election-states-b2597984.html

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